Despite the recent pause (September 2025) in the local interest rate cycle, South Africa’s housing market recovery remains firmly on track, continuing to build momentum amid sustained positive sentiment.
National house price inflation is also gaining ground, rising to +4.2% in August 2025, according to the revised Pam Golding Residential Property Index. Encouragingly for investors and existing homeowners, subdued consumer price pressures supported real (inflation-adjusted) house price growth of +0.9% in August, marking six consecutive months of positive gains.
By price segment, the upper band above R3 million posted the strongest growth at +5.5% in August, followed closely by the R2 million–R3 million band at +5.4%, while homes priced below R1 million rose by +3.3% over the same period.
A broad-based recovery is also evident across South Africa’s major metro markets, with Cape Town leading the pace and Tshwane spearheading the rebound in Gauteng. The coastal price premium continues to widen, while freehold properties are registering a slightly stronger recovery in prices than sectional title units.
Market activity remains sustained across regions and price bands, including the luxury segment, highlighting renewed buyer confidence. In-demand locations, particularly those offering strong lifestyle appeal, continue to attract buoyant activity, underpinned by semigration trends and access to competitively priced finance. This resilience is all the more notable against the backdrop of a subdued economy.
Positives for home buyers
While further interest rate cuts would provide additional stimulus, the market is already benefiting from a combination of muted inflation, lower petrol prices, and moderate interest rate relief to date, factors that are easing household debt burdens and drawing first-time buyers back into the market. The banking sector is supporting the housing market via attractively priced loans, elevated approval rates, and reduced deposit requirements.
According to ooba Home Loans, the average national concession relative to prime in the year to August 2025 was -0.66%, compared with -0.55% a year earlier, translating into more competitive finance options. Although lending terms differ across regions, home loan pricing has improved in all areas compared with 2024.
Deposit requirements also continue to ease: the average national deposit as a percentage of purchase price fell to 14.2% in August 2025, down from 16% in February this year. Deposit requirements for first-time buyers slipped below 10% this year and, as a result, demand from first-time buyers has strengthened further, rising to 47.7% of all applications received by ooba Home Loans in July/August 2025. Recent rate cuts and still subdued inflation are expected to further support first-time buyer demand during the remainder of the year.
Looking ahead, we remain optimistic that the recent pause represents only a temporary break in South Africa’s interest rate easing cycle, with the likelihood of further cuts either later in 2025 or into 2026.